Bull Market: Giá tăng > 20% từ recent low, broad based (60%+ stocks tăng), volume tăng. Bear Market: Giá giảm > 20% từ recent high, breadth tệ (60%+ stocks giảm), volume on down days. Sideway: ±10% range trong vài tháng, breadth balanced.
1) VN-Index > MA200 (đường trung bình 200 ngày). 2) Pullback tới MA50 được mua (buyers defending). 3) New 52-week highs > new lows. 4) Foreign net buying. 5) Media positive, IPO market hot. 6) VIX-equivalent thấp.
1) VN-Index < MA200. 2) Rally tới MA50 bị bán (sellers controlling). 3) New 52-week lows > new highs. 4) Foreign net selling. 5) Media negative, IPO market dead. 6) VIX-equivalent cao > 30.
1) VN-Index oscillate quanh MA50 và MA200. 2) Volume thấp. 3) Breadth balanced (advancers ≈ decliners). 4) Sector rotation nhanh (no clear leadership).
Bull: Buy the dip + hold winners + momentum trade. Avoid shorting. Trim cash 5-10%. Bear: Cash 30-50%. Only buy blue-chip dividend. Avoid leveraged + penny. Sideway: Swing trade resistance/support. Avoid breakout (high false rate).
1) VN-Index vs MA200: 1 sig nal. 2) ADX > 25 = trend; < 20 = sideway. 3) Breadth: Advancers/Decliners ratio. 4) VIX-equivalent: VN30 volatility. 5) Foreign flow: Daily net buy/sell. 6) Recap page cập nhật realtime.
1) Bull → Bear: VN-Index break MA200 + retest fail + foreign massive sell. 2) Bear → Bull: Capitulation low + breadth thrust (90%+ stocks advance trong 1-2 phiên) + foreign return. 3) Sideway → Trend: ADX rise > 25 + volume confirm.